It’s Friday night and we have a ten-game slate over on DraftKings tonight. There are some great superstars at the top of the board on tonight’s slate, as we have Russell Westbrook, Kevin Durant, Stephen Curry, Giannis Antetokounmpo, and Andre Drummond all in great matchups. While I am not going to steer anyone off playing one of these players (and may end up with a few of them in my lineups), I am going to focus my picks in this article on a few mid-range plays that have 45+ DK point upside for tournaments.
I have focused on identifying my two favorite plays, between $7,000-$8,400, at each position that can give us an edge in tournaments on tonight’s slate.
Devin Booker (PHX): $8,400 vs. OKC
Booker’s price has come up over the past few weeks, but this has certainly been warranted by his play. Over the past three games, Booker has averaged 55.1 DK points per game, which has been supported by strong scoring and surprisingly high rebounding totals. T.J. Warren is also questionable for tonight’s game and if he can’t go then Booker would get a huge boost. In 60.2 minutes without Warren over the past week, Booker has a 38.2% usage rate and averaged 1.22 DK points per minute. The matchup against the Thunder appears average on paper, 16th in DK points allowed to SGs, but this ranking has actually been in a free fall since Andre Roberson went down with a season-ending injury in January. Booker has the upside to go for 50+ DK points in tonight’s matchup.
Zach LaVine (CHI): $7,100 vs. DAL
With Zach LaVine settling into the low-to-mid $7,000 price range, his ownership has started to decline in tournaments over the past few weeks. Despite his price tag, LaVine should be considered an elite option at guard tonight. Dallas is ranked 25th in defensive efficiency rating this season and Wesley Matthews is ranked 96th out of 110 SGs in defensive real plus minus (DRPM) this season. On top of that, LaVine is in good form and has averaged 36.1 DK points per game since the All-Star break. He also has a 30.7% usage rate that ranks 12th in the NBA this season. Lavine should be able to have his way against a weak Mavericks team tonight.
DeMar DeRozan (TOR): $7,500 at WAS
The Raptors head to Washington to take on the Wizards in a battle between two of the Eastern Conference’s best teams. In DeRozan’s last matchup at Washington in February, he put up 42.3 DK points in a game that ended up having 241 total points. The matchup is also friendly on paper, as Bradley Beal also has a -0.40 negative DRPM, which ranks 46th in the NBA at SG. DeRozan has flashed upside recently and put up 51.5 DK points in a game just eight days ago. With DeRozan’s 29.5% usage rate leading the way for the Raptors, he should have plenty of opportunities to score in this game and his mid-$7k price tag is more than fair.
Aaron Gordon (ORL): $7,300 vs. DET
Gordon has been playing well in his first few games back from a lengthy injury. In four games since his return, Gordon has put up 37.0 DK points per game and is looking like he hasn’t missed a beat. Tonight, he gets a matchup against a struggling Pistons team that is ranked 27th in DK points to PFs on the season. This has not been helped by the addition of Blake Griffin, who is ranked 82nd out of 96 PFs in DRPM this season. This matchup has a decent 212.0 total and the Pistons are only favored by two points, so this game is expected to be close throughout. Due to this, we can expect Gordon to see minutes in the 30s and he should be able to step up while going head-to-head against Griffin.
Blake Griffin (DET): $7,400 at ORL
On the other side of the Pistons and Magic matchup, a struggling Blake Griffin is in a great spot to rebound. Griffin has obviously been in terrible form for his standards over the past four games – averaging 24.3 DK points – but the Magic are about as bad as it gets on the defensive end. On the season, they are ranked 27th in defensive efficiency rating and 29th in rebounding percentage. Griffin is too talented to struggle for a long period of time and his price is now at a point where it would be risky to fade him in tournaments, even at high ownership. At $7,400, Griffin has the ability to return 50+ DK points in this game. As I mentioned, he will be highly owned, but this is a great spot to target him.
DeAndre Jordan (LAC): $7,200 vs. NYK
After coming off two down games, DeAndre Jordan is in a terrific spot against the Knicks tonight. As a whole, the Knicks are in complete disarray and have been horrendous since Kristaps Porzingis went down for the season in early February. While Jordan’s last few games have been concerning, 29 DK points and 4.3 shot attempts per game, the Knicks are not great at defending the paint with Enes Kanter ranking 69th out of 73 centers in DRPM this season. Jordan is a player that has massive double-double upside with the ability to return 6x on his price tag. He is a great option in tournaments tonight.